Has a trajectory that aims for the Northeast, how catastrophic or devastating would that be considering Hurricane Irene recently pounded that area with its wrath? Obviously I'm not asking for any numerical measurements, but in general?
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This is a hard question to answer because there are so many possibility. THe main one would be, how people will react to the warnings and recommendations from the emergency officials after going through Irene.
Since Irene was mainly a heavy rain producers, the next hurricane may be much different. Example, it may be a much high wind storm, or it may be a fast moving storm with a stronger storm surge, etc. Sometimes after going through one hurricane event, people will think that every hurricane will be the same. That kind of thinking was what made so many people stay instead of taking shelter inland with Katrina. That ended up costing some people their lives. So those who went through Irene should know that each hurricane is unique and should not be compared to past storms.
The chances of a hurricane taking the same path as Irene will be extremely low, so it is likely that if the next hurricane makes landfall, it will likely be effect an area that was not directly hit by Irene. So, for those areas that are recovering wil likely not see as much, if any, impact from the next storm. And for those who had evacuated and came back home to see no damage, would they leave again if recommended to?
So, in my opinion, it really depends on what the action of the people who will be in the path of the next hurricane that will determine how catastrophic or devastating that storm will be. I may be able to forecast the weather, but I know i can't forecast what people are going to do.
Since Irene was mainly a heavy rain producers, the next hurricane may be much different. Example, it may be a much high wind storm, or it may be a fast moving storm with a stronger storm surge, etc. Sometimes after going through one hurricane event, people will think that every hurricane will be the same. That kind of thinking was what made so many people stay instead of taking shelter inland with Katrina. That ended up costing some people their lives. So those who went through Irene should know that each hurricane is unique and should not be compared to past storms.
The chances of a hurricane taking the same path as Irene will be extremely low, so it is likely that if the next hurricane makes landfall, it will likely be effect an area that was not directly hit by Irene. So, for those areas that are recovering wil likely not see as much, if any, impact from the next storm. And for those who had evacuated and came back home to see no damage, would they leave again if recommended to?
So, in my opinion, it really depends on what the action of the people who will be in the path of the next hurricane that will determine how catastrophic or devastating that storm will be. I may be able to forecast the weather, but I know i can't forecast what people are going to do.
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I watched the news today. The flooding from Irene has not yet subsided.