A game is played with a fair six-sided die. A player throws this die and if the result is 2,3,4 or 5, that result is the player's score. If the result is 1 or 6, the player throws the die a second time and the sum of the 2 numbers resulting from both throws is the player's score. Events A and B are as follows:
A: the player's score is 5,6,7,8 or 9
B: the player has two throws.
Show that P(A)=1/3
Find P(A U B) and P(A N D)
N = intersects
Ans: P(A N D)=1/6
P(AUB) = 1/2
Please help with the solution thanks. and explanation if possible
A: the player's score is 5,6,7,8 or 9
B: the player has two throws.
Show that P(A)=1/3
Find P(A U B) and P(A N D)
N = intersects
Ans: P(A N D)=1/6
P(AUB) = 1/2
Please help with the solution thanks. and explanation if possible
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The best way to approach this problem is with simple enumeration of all cases:
Two rolls ... score ... probability
2, ... 2 ... 1/6
1,1 .... 2 .... 1/36
3, ... 3 ... 1/6
1,2, ... 3 .... 1/36
4, ... 4 ... 1/6
1,3 ... 4 .... 1/36
5, ... 5 ... 1/6
1,4 ... 5 .... 1/36
1,5 ... 6 ... 1/36
1,6 ... 7 ... 1/36
6,1 ... 7 ... 1/36
6,2 ... 8 .... 1/36
6,3 ... 9 .... 1/36
6,4 ... 10 .... 1/36
6,5 ... 11 .... 1/36
6,6 ... 12 .... 1/36
P(score = 5,6,7,8,9) =
(1/36 + 1/6) + 1/36 + (1/36 + 1/36) + 1/36 + 1/36
= 12/36 = 1/3
A Union B:
P(A U B) =
A = score of 5,6,7,8,9 ... the only single roll case is first roll = 5.
All other cases require two rolls, which is event B.
B = two rolls ... which occurs when you roll 1 or 6.
Hence, on 3 of the 6 possible first rolls you are in A U B,
3/6 = 1/2 so P(A U B) = 1/2
A intersect B:
P(A ^ B) = the rolls (1,4), (1,5), (1,6), (6,1), (6,2), and (6,3).
that's 6 of the rolls, each has probability 1/36,
6/36 = 1/6
Two rolls ... score ... probability
2,
1,1 .... 2 .... 1/36
3,
1,2, ... 3 .... 1/36
4,
1,3 ... 4 .... 1/36
5,
1,4 ... 5 .... 1/36
1,5 ... 6 ... 1/36
1,6 ... 7 ... 1/36
6,1 ... 7 ... 1/36
6,2 ... 8 .... 1/36
6,3 ... 9 .... 1/36
6,4 ... 10 .... 1/36
6,5 ... 11 .... 1/36
6,6 ... 12 .... 1/36
P(score = 5,6,7,8,9) =
(1/36 + 1/6) + 1/36 + (1/36 + 1/36) + 1/36 + 1/36
= 12/36 = 1/3
A Union B:
P(A U B) =
A = score of 5,6,7,8,9 ... the only single roll case is first roll = 5.
All other cases require two rolls, which is event B.
B = two rolls ... which occurs when you roll 1 or 6.
Hence, on 3 of the 6 possible first rolls you are in A U B,
3/6 = 1/2 so P(A U B) = 1/2
A intersect B:
P(A ^ B) = the rolls (1,4), (1,5), (1,6), (6,1), (6,2), and (6,3).
that's 6 of the rolls, each has probability 1/36,
6/36 = 1/6
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................................. <----------------------- P(A ∩ B) --------------------------------->
P(A) = P(5 on #1) + [ P(1 on #1)*P(4-6 on #2) + P(6 on #1)*P(1-3 on #2) ]
= 1/6 + [1/6*1/2 + 1/6*1/2 ] = 1/3 <---------
P(A ∩ B) from above = 1/6 <--------
P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B) = 1/3 + 1/3 - 1/6 = 1/2 <--------
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................................. <----------------------- P(A ∩ B) --------------------------------->
P(A) = P(5 on #1) + [ P(1 on #1)*P(4-6 on #2) + P(6 on #1)*P(1-3 on #2) ]
= 1/6 + [1/6*1/2 + 1/6*1/2 ] = 1/3 <---------
P(A ∩ B) from above = 1/6 <--------
P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B) = 1/3 + 1/3 - 1/6 = 1/2 <--------